These posts share our insights into the financial industry.

The invention of Markowitz (1952) mean-variance (MV) optimization altered the course of 20th century finance from security valuation to portfolio risk management.  The Markowitz frontier is a model of long-only institutional investment behavior representing a universal framework for asset management theory and practice.  The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is MV preference theory based on Von Neumann and Morgenstern game theory rationality axioms.  CAPM theory was instrumental in the development of a 20th century multi-trillion dollar institutional quantitative asset management industry. 

 

In a recent article, French (2017) describes an intriguing property of Markowitz (1959) optimization.  He notes that the Markowitz optimizer (nearly) always populates the efficient frontier with a relatively small subset of the securities in the optimization universe.  Is the optimizer telling us something important about the investment value of the...

It is a common academic mantra, and of many respected investment professionals, that investing in an index fund is best for the majority of investors.  There are two reasons for this view: 1) Experience has shown that active investment strategies charge more and perform less well on average relative to many common index funds; 2) Twentieth century financial...

Our January commentary (1/3/17) discussed some critiques of index-fund ETFs topical in the investment community.  The argument was that ETFs, because they trade like stocks, tend to encourage investors to trade actively as opposed to traditional mutual fund investing.  But it is always true that anything can be misused however otherwise beneficial.  In our view...

Widespread investment wisdom dictates that there are two “irrational” tendencies of human behavior that harm investment performance when acted on excessively: greed and fear. In a simple sense, “greedy” investors want maximum participation in rising markets and “fearful” investors want minimum participation in falling markets. Upside and downside capture...

“Dow 20,000”

Those two words encapsulate three concepts: 1) the Dow is a relevant economic indicator; 2) 20,000 is a noteworthy milestone; 3) special consideration should be given to investing at all-time highs.  I’ll examine each in turn...

By Paul Erlich

New Frontier Advisors creates and maintains diversified investment solutions for long-term wealth accumulation and preservation. Clients and advisors often raise concerns about individual assets or asset classes held in these portfolios – concerns that are based on looking at the performance, or attempting to assess the potential dangers, of those...

By New Frontier

Given great interest in the DOL decision on fiduciary responsibility, we note a blog posted in 2012 by James Watkins that referenced New Frontier’s patented optimization process followed by a comment by noted expert Steve Winks that we quote below: “…[T]here is massive push back from the brokerage industry, which neither acknowledges nor supports the fiduciary standing of brok ...

By Paul Erlich

Mutual funds are often touted as the most effective and convenient tools for individual investors and managers to build diversified portfolios.

However, investor experience is often...

By New Frontier

Question: U. S. Equity markets are up. Why isn’t all of my money in the S&P 500? Why do I have any exposure to treasuries when everybody knows they are underperforming U. S. equities? At the heart of New Frontier’s investment policy is planning for all contingencies and reducing portfolio risk. It may be fashionable to bet strongly on particular outcomes, but a sensible lo ...